Trumpism from where to where?! [3]

20 Oct. 2021

With the current sharp division in the US and the unmistakable state of popular tension, former US President Donald John Trump meets with his ecstatic supporters Where in a historically unprecedented phenomenon for a former American president, Trump is still active and meets his supporters And here Trump was only a few days ago in the small but very important state of Iowa in the presidential race, and opinion polls have indicated that his popularity in the state is currently higher than when he was in the White House

As the Washington Post report mentioned, which I wrote an article considered the second part of the series (Trumpism, from where to where?!), it does not seem that Trump will disappear from the scene, as the state of deep institutions had hoped

So what do we expect?!

Trump has not yet announced his intention to run for president, although there are reports that he may run for membership in the House of Representatives in 2022 in preparation for running for president in 2024 If Trump does this, he will definitely win the House of Representatives, and if the Republicans win the majority in the House, Trump may become the Speaker of the House of Representatives, succeeding House Speaker Nancy Pelosi And I repeat here Trump won the presidency in 2016 with the blessing of the state of deep institutions, but his strong personality, stubbornness and overwhelming popularity made him naively believe that he could confront the state of institutions (Let us remember his firing of Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, then of General Herbert McMaster, then of Secretary of Defense James Mattis, and others) And this is against the will of the state of the solid institutions ruling the United States

The state of institutions did not tolerate Trump, so it overthrew him in the 2020 elections. Those who follow the policies of the current US administration note that they are in contrast to the Trump administration’s policies internally and externally with allies and opponents: Saudi Arabia, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Russia and China are important examples Until now, America's policies are a clear and explicit violation of the policies of the Trump era

The question remains, will Trump run for president in 2024?! The state of institutions had hoped that he would disappear from the scene, as the Washington Post report stated frankly, but he did not His opponents said that Trump will be tried and imprisoned after the end of his term, and until today nothing has happened to him, just as they tried to impeach him 3 times and failed As a commentator, I do not think that Trump will announce his candidacy for the presidency or not until after the midterm elections in November 2022. If voting by mail is not adopted and the elections go unhindered and the Republicans win a majority of both houses of Congress or one of them (in particular), Trump may announce his candidacy against the Republican party and he will win the candidacy

The state of the ruling institutions is interested in the stability and balance of American society, and it knows that the conservatives are in a state of anger and congestion, as you know that the greatest threat to the American union is not the external forces, but the internal division and strife that dismantled the American union and caused a bloody war 161 years ago, and the nations are evoking the lessons of its history Therefore, Trump will not return to the candidacy and win unless the state of institutions feels that American society has reached the maximum stages of rupture and division, and Trump’s return is necessary to restore balance

The strategy of the state of institutions may be: (If society is in a state of sharp division, it is better to alternate winning the presidency between the Republican right and the Democratic left)

I expect that even if Trump manages to run and win in 2024, it will not necessarily be Trump who won in 2016. The state of institutions will seek to discipline Trump before allowing him to run and win again And he -realized the extent of the strength and ferocity of the state of institutions after his experience in the last elections- may acquiesce and walk in its orbit under compulsion or with consent I am writing this because the Trump phenomenon is currently tyrannical in the face of the Biden administration, and I did not write because I hope Trump will return and win

America, in the end, is a state of institutions looking for its interests.